Sunday 08th of September
Recommendations:
- High risk: Buy the AUDUSD at the market, SL 0.9100, targets 0.9250, 0.930, 0.95.
- Low risk: Buy the EURUSD at 1.2900, SL 1.2730, targets 1.30, 1.34, 1.40.
Analysis:
The EURUSD has fallen during last week as we expected. The weekly
chart on EURUSD displays a candlestick close to a pin, and the price
action during last week also showed a rather deep pocket of bulls
supporting the euro. This might indicate that the retest of the lower
edge of the trading range (1.2750-1.29) is unlikely at the moment. We
would avoid entering any positions in EURUSD next week except if the
pair falls below 1.29.
The USDJPY has broken outside its uncertainty wedge to the upside.
And it would be logical for the pair to go revisit its previous high in
the 103.xx. However, the bearish engulfing candle formed on a daily
level and the steepness of the fall that occurred on Friday suggests
that the retest of 103 either won’t happen in the coming week, either
that the indecision pattern is still in formation. We would not trade
this pair for now.
The AUDUSD finished the week closer to 0.92, and is now displaying
bullish characteristics. The resistance around 0.92 has not been
crossed, but once this barrier is broken, the chances that we reach 0.95
are very high. The risky way to trade this is to enter immediately long
on Monday. The more conservative way is to wait for the market to close
convincingly above 0.9250 and to enter in the direction of the trend.
Finally the GBPUSD is also showing signs of a bullish trend, but it
is rather weak, and side way action might continue in this pair.
